This week’s financial spread betting update is now available and can be read by clicking here. There is a raft of economic data coming out this week so we may see some decent moves in the markets. In the US, the latest unemployment figures are due to be released on Friday and that will likely underscore the recent signs of a slowdown for the world’s largest economy.

Today is Bank Holiday in the UK so trading is a little quiet this morning but will pick up later when the US markets open. Already we have seen the bank of Japan ease policy, with little impact being seen on the Yen. If anything traders may have been looking for something more aggressive from the BOJ and the initial small move higher for the Yen this morning has already faded away.

In this week’s spread betting update we take a look at the S&P 500, which fell to new 7 week lows last week before a recovery on Friday. Good support has come in at 1038 and that will be the level to watch this week to the downside. A close below 1038 may trigger further selling. To the upside resistance remains in place at 1100. The trend remains down for stocks.

Last week saw some decent moves in a few commodity markets with energies reversing off the lows in a counter trend move. We also saw gold and the other metals move higher with the biggest gainer being Silver, which advanced 5.73% for the week.

The focus will also be on interest rate futures, which having hit new highs on Wednesday sold off in to the close on Friday. The trend is still bullish for this sector with the markets currently holding above support.

This week’s financial spread betting update begins with:

Stocks continued to drift lower for the week but recovered somewhat on Friday but the trends remain down. Commodity and currency markets remain largely undecided on future direction as the general theme of volatility continues across many markets..….continue reading by clicking here

Good trading

Phil Seaton

PS. You can sign up for a risk free trial of our proprietary financial spread betting system by clicking here. The system comes with a 30 day no questions asked money back guarantee and covers our spread betting strategies for each of the stock, commodity and forex markets discussed above and many more.

This week’s financial spread betting update is now available and can be read by clicking here. We cover both markets that have been the focus of our recent series of spread betting strategies, gold and the S&P 500. Both of these markets could be setting up for decent moves and will be worth watching this week.

It’s been another volatile week for the markets and there have been decent moves in stocks, commodities and currencies. We’ve also seen a large move in the VIX, which is a measure of volatility, with the VIX rising by 20.7% during the past week.

Once again, the resistance level at 1229 on the S&P 500 held firm and stocks finally moved lower from here, breaking out of the recent trading range and resuming the longer term downtrend. As of Last Friday’s close, everything is pointing to lower levels for stocks at present but of late Monday’s have been fairly strong so we may have a cleared picture for the week ahead after tonight’s close.

Interest rate futures continue to do well, with new contract highs seen across the board. From a trend following perspective, interest rate futures have been the best trending sector for quite a while with a steady continuous uptrend seen. We’ve been riding this trend higher since the initial breakout back during the first week of May.

This week’s financial spread betting update begins with:

Stocks made a breakout to the downside, in the direction of the long term trend and the US Dollar rose against the major currencies, reversing the recent trend..….continue reading by clicking here

Good trading

Phil Seaton

PS. You can sign up for a risk free trial of our proprietary financial spread betting system by clicking here. The system comes with a 30 day no questions asked money back guarantee and covers our spread betting strategies for each of the stock, commodity and forex markets discussed above.

Today we are bringing you an update on spread betting strategies for the S&P 500. This market has continued to be of great interest to many traders as it is the primary stock market from which the other stock markets take their direction. The only stock index not following the S&P 500 at present is the German Dax, which continues to be in a long term uptrend. That said, a major move down on the S&P 500 will very likely drag the Dax down with it.

In our most recent post on the S&P 500 2 days ago we wrote that the market had held within a range from 1127.5 to 1102 and a break out from that range could give some decent movement in the direction of the breakout. We also mentioned that we had a rising wedge pattern that added weight to an eventual breakout and that we were therefore still favouring short spread betting strategies for a breakout to the downside, especially if the market moved back below the 200 day moving average and the 1100 support area.

We have since got that breakout to the downside with the S&P 500 moving back though the 200 day moving average and through the 1100 support area, making a new low for this move at 1070.50 during yesterday’s trading. This was the lowest level for the S&P 500 in 3 weeks and we still have our next target to the downside at 1050.

What is of great interest in this market is that the major resistance level that we had been writing about for several weeks at 1129 held firm in spite of numerous attempts to break though, all of which failed. This means that 1129 may be a significant high for this market and that we remain in bearish mode as long as the market stays below this level. Because 1129 failed then the market is still making lower highs and this is also bearish.

If the market does fall to 1050 and support there fails then we will be looking for the lows formed on the 6^th July on the September contract at 1003. For now we will continue to trade the S&P 500 with the trend and that continues to be to the downside.

Until next time, good trading

Phil Seaton

P.S. You can find out more about our financial spread betting systems and spread betting strategies by clicking here. Our system comes with a full 30 day money back guarantee.

P.P.S For those that are interested in spread betting forex markets we now have a dedicated forex system. You can take advantage currently of a 30 day free trial to our forex system here

Today we are continuing our series of posts of spread betting strategies for the S&P 500 as the markets continue to be undecided on short term direction.

The past couple of days have seen some movement in the markets during the build up to the Federal Reserve meeting held yesterday. During that meeting the Fed downgraded their recovery outlook and said that interest rates would remain exceptionally low for an extended period. This is not at all surprising and is in line with my own fundamental view on the markets long term.

Since our last post, the S&P 500 has still be unable to clear the resistance level that we have been writing about for what seems like an age now. Resistance is still holding at 1129 on the September contract but at the same time any declines down towards 1100 are also being rejected and this can be seen by the long lower shadows formed on the daily candles.

The past seven sessions have therefore held within a range from 1127.5 to 1102 and a break out from that range could give some decent movement in the direction of the breakout. We also have a rising wedge pattern that is moving in to a narrower range and this also adds weight to a decent move from the eventual breakout. Long term the trend is still down for the S&P 500 so I’m still favouring spread betting strategies from the short side only and will continue to do so until we get a change of long term trend to up and that is some way off at present.

The 200 day moving average is currently sitting at 1106 on the September contract which is just below yesterday’s lows. Therefore this would be the first downside target, followed by 1100. If the market can break down through this support area then we may see a continuation lower towards 1050.

Until next time, good trading

Phil Seaton

PS. You can find out more about our financial spread betting systems and spread betting strategies by clicking here. Our system comes with a full 30 days money back guarantee.

This week’s financial spread betting update is now available and can be read by clicking here. The weekly update is to bring you up to speed on what has been happening in the markets over the past week as well as what to look out for in the coming week so that you can plan your spread betting strategies accordingly.

During the past week we saw continued weakness for the US dollar and an overall rise for the stock markets. The S&P 500 stayed below the key resistance level of 1129 but will likely test that level this week and possibly as early as today as the futures are opening higher at the time of writing this on Monday morning. European stocks indexes, in particular the German Dax, have continued to rise, and the Dax has reached its highest level in almost 2 years.

The best trending markets continue to come from the interest rate futures sector and all of the markets in this sector remain in a long term uptrend.

The biggest moves of the week came from the grains sector and we saw some limit moves from Wheat as well as higher prices virtually across the board from the grains markets.

This week’s financial spread betting update begins with:

The past week has seen US stocks continue to move higher but still remain within the overall lateral trading range. Last week’s US jobs figure sent the markets tumbling at the US open on Friday but then show a strong recovery. We may see a breakout for stocks this coming week..….continue reading by clicking here

Good trading

Phil Seaton

PS. You can sign up for a risk free trial of our proprietary financial spread betting system by clicking here. The system comes with a 30 day no questions asked money back guarantee and covers each of the stock, commodity and forex markets discussed above.

Our last post of spread betting strategies focused on Gold and the S&P 500 and we’re going to continue with those two markets today.

Beginning with Gold, we last said that we had a bull harami pattern, which was indicating that the bears were running out of steam. We also said that there was support around the $1150 area and that the markets was still above the 200 day moving average.

The bull harami pattern has so far proven to be the short term bottom and we have now had 5 successive up days in the December Gold contract. Yesterday the market pierced the $1200 level intra day, reaching a high of $1205.5 but was unable to close above that psychological number and pulled back to $1195.9 on a close. We need to see a close above $1200 in this market soon otherwise we may see a pullback to the bottom of the bull harami pattern.

The long term trend is still up for gold but a break above $1220 resistance will be required before entering longs. For now only spread betting strategies from the long side should be considered as the long term trend is up. I would not consider shorting this market yet for that reason and would need further downside confirmation to change that point of view.

On to the S&P 500 September contract. The S&P 500 has so far not pierced the resistance levels seen on the 21^st June, although it is very close to doing so. The Dow and FTSE have both already cleared that resistance level. At the time of writing this morning the September contract is at 1125 so it is very likely that we will get a test of resistance today. Since the resistance at 1129 is major (it has held since 18^th May) a breakthrough may provide the impetus for a move higher towards 1170.

Even if the S&P 500 does clear this level the long term trend is down, so I won’t be taking this breakout if it does come as it is counter to the long term trend.

Until next time, good trading

Phil Seaton

PS. You can find out more about our financial spread betting systems and spread betting strategies by clicking here.

This week’s financial spread betting update is now available and can be read by clicking here. The aim of this update is to help you decide on your spread betting strategies for the week ahead.

During the past week we saw further weakness for the US dollar and indecision in the stock markets which having tested recent highs ended the week pretty much where they began. In early trading on Monday stocks have begun the week higher and we may get a test of 1118 on the S&P 500, which is resistance 1 soon. If that level is cleared then a test of resistance level 2 may follow, which is major resistance at 1129. The trend remains down as long as resistance level 2 holds.

Elsewhere the commodity markets had a good week with some decent up-moves seen in numerous markets, especially in the grains sector. One of the few commodity markets that did not fare so well was gold but this market seems to have found support.

The strongest and best trending sector at the moment continues to be the interest rate futures and both the 5 & 10 year T notes made new contract highs during the past week. We continue to be long this sector and have been since early May.

This week’s financial spread betting update begins with:

The past week saw the stock markets continue in the mixed fashion that we have seen of late and the markets remain undecided on future direction. We have also seen commodities begin to pick up, with some markets making decent moves to the upside and have seen continued weakness for the US Dollar.….continue reading by clicking here

Good trading

Phil Seaton

PS. You can sign up for a risk free trial of our proprietary financial spread betting system by clicking here. The system comes with a 30 day no questions asked money back guarantee and covers each of the stock, commodity and forex markets discussed above.

In our last post of spread betting strategies for Gold, posted Friday morning, we wrote that Gold was in a trading range between $1200 and $1175. Later on that day Gold actually pierced $1200 resistance intra day but was unable to stay above that level and proceeded lower.

On Monday the market was lower again and yesterday we got a downside breakout through support at $1175 (August contract). IG Index is now quoting Gold on the December contract so we now shift our focus to December’s contract. There is actually only $3.80 difference between the 2 contracts, with last night’s close on August at $1158 and December’s at $1161.8

Looking at the December contract there is some support at $1161, which is right where last night closed. In early trading this morning the market is around $5 higher at the time of writing this. Slightly below that support level we also have the 200 day moving average, which may also provide support. The 200 day moving average is currently sitting at $1150.

Candlechart pattern wise we have 3 consecutive red candles, which indicates 3 straight down days, with yesterday being a log red candle for the large move down from highs of $1190, down almost $30 in the day to $1161.8.

The short term is without doubt down, but the long term trend is still up and the market is above the 200 day moving average, which many traders will be watching. There are still other levels of support in this market that need to be cleared before a long term change of trend to down is confirmed, so for now we are sitting on the sidelines in this market. Longer term we’re still therefore only looking at spread betting strategies from the long side, but will need to see a move back above $1222 before there is any upside momentum.

Good trading

Phil Seaton

PS. Find out more about LS Trader financial spread betting system and our spread betting strategies by clicking here.

This week’s LS Trader financial spread betting update is now available and can be read by clicking here.

During the past week we saw weakness in the stock markets followed by renewed strength in to Friday’s close. The S&P 500 closed right on a key level and the coming week promises to be an interesting one.

Recently on this site we have been focusing in particular on two markets, gold and the S&P 500 and spread betting strategies for those two markets. We have an update on both of these two markets in the weekly update. We also have a look at Crude, which continues to trade within a wide range, we well as our usual forex market focus.

The past week saw another week of declines overall for the US Dollar, albeit not by much as well as a strong finish to the week for the British Pound which has been strong of late and may be on the verge of a long term trend change to up having been in a downtrend since September 2009.

We also have an update on the strongest and best trending sector at the moment, which is the interest rate futures and includes markets such as the 5 & 10 year T notes and the 30 year bonds. Each of these markets made new contract highs during the past week. At LS Trader we have been long these markets and this sector on the whole since early May.

This week’s LS Trader financial spread betting update begins with:

The past week saw the stock markets move lower early in the week and then recover on Tuesday. The week ahead promises to be interesting as the stock markets are now sitting at a key short term level and could move either way over the next few days.….continue reading by clicking here

Good trading

Phil Seaton

PS. You can sign up for a risk free trial of the LS Trader financial spread betting system by clicking here. The system comes with a 30 day no questions asked money back guarantee and covers each of the stock, commodity and forex markets discussed above.

Today we are continuing our focus on gold and the S&P 500 and looking at spread betting strategies that can be applied to these markets.

In our last post 2 days ago on gold we wrote that the market was continuing to reject the lows and that if the market was going to move lower in the short term that the breach of support at $1185 should have had more follow through to the downside than it did. We noted that the lower shadows on the candle patterns seen on Monday and Tuesday were indicative of the lows being rejected due to buyers coming in and that the piercing pattern on Tuesday was pointing to higher prices.

Since then we had a doji pattern on Wednesday, which reflects indecision and yesterday we had a bullish engulfing pattern and a brief test of $1200, which was also rejected. Therefore we are in a short term range between $1175 and $1200. A break of either may give rise to movement but there is considerable support to the downside as mentioned in our previous post and upside resistance is firm around $1200. Long term the trend is still up, so spread betting strategies from the long side should be favoured and I’ll continue to hold off from shorts for now.

The S&P 500 continues to be volatile and large swings on an almost daily basis are being seen in this market. Yesterday was a very bullish day, which ended with being a bullish engulfing pattern. However, this would be a very poor long trade candidate for 3 reasons at present:

1. The long term trend is down
2. There is good resistance at the psychological 1100
3. There is also resistance from the 200 day moving average at 1102

If 1100 and the 200 day moving average can be cleared to the upside then we may see some further upside movement towards major resistance at 1129. As long as 1129 is not cleared to the upside then the series of lower highs and lower lows will remain intact and we are still in bear market territory.

As with gold, only spread betting strategies in the direction of the long term trend should be considered, which in the case of the S&P 500 is still down.

Good trading

Phil Seaton

PS. Find out more about LS Trader financial spread betting system and our spread betting strategies by clicking here.